Lovie Smith knew.
So did Tim Jennings and countless members of the Chicago Bears.
In the 2010 regular season finale, Smith brought his Bears into Lambeau Field.
Chicago was locked into the No. 2 seed in the NFC, so it had little to play for. Green Bay needed a win to secure the conferenceâs sixth and final playoff spot.
But that didnât stop Smith and Bears from playing like it was the Super Bowl.
âWeâre playing to win the game,â Smith said.
And thatâs just what Chicago did, playing its starters all 60 minutes. While the Bears had already clinched the NFC North title and a first round bye, they wanted nothing more than to knock their oldest rival out of the postseason.
That didnât happen, though.
Green Bay got a terrific defensive effort, limiting Chicago to 227 total yards, intercepting quarterback Jay Cutler twice and downing the Bears, 10-3.
The win gave the Packers the final playoff spot in the NFC. And as Chicagoâs bus exited Lambeau Field that night, many Bears had a strange feeling of what could be coming next.
âI keep thinking weâre going to see them again,â Jennings, a standout cornerback, said of the Packers. âI was thinking, âMan, we should have knocked them out.â â
Yes, they should have.
Three weeks later, the Packers defeated Chicago in the NFC Championship Game. And five weeks after the Bears missed out on a golden opportunity to end Green Bayâs season, the Packers won the 45th Super Bowl.
âWe just continued to get better all season,â Packers cornerback Charles Woodson said. âWe continued to fight no matter what adversity we went through.â
Fast forward 12 years â almost to the day â and Minnesota has a chance to end Green Bayâs season when it travels to Lambeau Field for a 3:25 p.m. (CST) contest today.
The 2022 Packers arenât nearly as talented as that 2010 Green Bay team. But after a 4-8 start, the Packers are suddenly red-hot and have ripped off three straight wins.
Green Bay (7-8) is tied for the No. 8 seed in the NFC, ½-game behind Washington (7-7-1) for the seventh and final playoff spot. The Packers need to win out and hope the Commanders lose one of their final two games.
Of course, Minnesota can do what Chicago failed to do back in 2010 â and thatâs crush Green Bayâs postseason hopes. And the Vikings â who consider the Packers their greatest rival â would love nothing more than to keep Green Bay out of the playoff party.
âTheyâre playing good football, theyâre playing complimentary football right now, and thereâs a reason why theyâre winning and trending upward,â Minnesota coach Kevin OâConnell said of the Packers. âTheyâre really well-coached and obviously theyâve got experience of playing so many meaningful games in the month of December and on, so expecting a heck of an environment there and a football team thatâs playing really, really well.â
Minnesota quarterback Kirk Cousins agreed that Green Bay suddenly looks like a dangerous outfit. And the best way to ensure the Packers arenât a postseason menace would be making sure theyâre not part of the playoff party.
âYouâre just always having respect for their team, their players,â Cousins said. âAnd I think theyâve shown, the last several weeks now, what theyâre capable of and we understand that going into this one.â
These Packers arenât as deep or as gifted as the 2010 outfit that eventually won the Super Bowl.
That offense featured dynamic pass catchers Greg Jennings, Donald Driver, Jordy Nelson and James Jones. This Green Bay team isnât nearly as explosive in the passing game and ranks 16th in total offense (342.6) and 18th in points per game (20.9), well behind the 2010 team that was ninth in total offense (358.1) and 10th in scoring (24.3).
Quarterback Aaron Rodgers was just 27 years old back in 2010 and starting to play the consistent, high-level football that later led to four MVP awards. Today, Rodgers is struggling through a mediocre season and has gone 19 consecutive games without throwing for 300 yards.
And the 2010 defense was a dynamic unit that ranked second in points allowed (15.0) and fifth in yards allowed (309.1). Green Bayâs 2022 defense has been a disappointing bunch that ranks 17th in scoring (22.3) and 17th in total defense (336.8).
These Packers â much like that 2010 team which finished the year with six straight wins â have picked the right time to get hot, though.
Green Bay is averaging 27.8 points per game in its last four contests after averaging 18.4 in its first 11 games. The Packers allowed 23.6 points per game in the first 12 contests, but have given up just 17.0 points during their current three-game winning streak.
And the special teams â a major problem for nearly two decades â has gone from a weakness to a strength.
âI feel like we can beat anybody,â Rodgers said last week.
Thatâs exactly how those 2010 Packers felt after reaching the postseason. That team played loose and relaxed â almost like it was operating with house money â and won road games at Philadelphia, Atlanta and Chicago before beating Pittsburgh in the 45th Super Bowl.
âWe always believed. We know who we are,â linebacker Desmond Bishop said of that 2010 team. âWe know the talent we have on this team. And, we just had to figure out a way to put it all together. Relentless pursuit of perfection and we found greatness.â
The Bears had a golden opportunity to end Green Bayâs 2010 postseason before it even began â and failed.
Minnesota gets a similar opportunity today.
While the 2022 Packers seem unlikely to make the kind of noise that great 2010 team once did, anything and everything becomes possible once a team is in the playoffs.
The question now is can Minnesota deny Green Bay that chance?
"The first game of the season, it's got that feeling of almost a must-win,â said Minnesota wideout Adam Thielen, whose team defeated Green Bay, 23-7, in Week 1. âAnd this week has that same feeling as a must-win, for both sides.
âThis is a big game and December football, January football is playoff football, so you've got to treat these games like it's your last one and you've got to play your best football this time of year. We're trying to do what we need to do to prepare and get ready and then hopefully go out there and play our best football.â
And in the process, end Green Bayâs postseason dreams.