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Is Gonzaga Poised To Land The Projected No. 1 Draft Pick For 2022?

Apr. 11, 2021
Is Gonzaga Poised To Land The Projected No. 1 Draft Pick For 2022?

Chet Holmgren’s high school career ended with yet another state title, and his next mission will be trying to win an NCAA championship at the college level.

The 7-foot-1 Holmgren is expected to make his college announcement sometime in the coming days after leading Minnehaha Academy to a fourth state title in four years on Saturday night with an 80-29 rout of Alexandria High School in the Minnesota Class 3A state championship game. Holmgren, a McDonald’s All-American who was also named to the Nike Hoop Summit team, went for 18 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists in the win.

“It was a great way to send us (seniors) off into our next part of our journey — whether that’s football for some of our guys, basketball, other things — definitely a great last hoorah for all of us,” Holmgren said, per the Pioneer Press. “We just wanted to make sure that we went out with a bang.”

The widespread expectation is that Holmgren will commit to Gonzaga and take his talents to Spokane, Wash., for a one-and-done season before entering the 2022 NBA Draft, where he is projected as the No. 1 pick, per ESPN.com.

After losing to Baylor in the title game on Monday, Gonzaga is favored by Caesars William Hill to win the NCAA championship next season. And part of that calculation has to do with Holmgren.

He also lists Georgetown, Memphis, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina and Ohio State among his final seven, but Gonzaga has been the heavy favorite for some time now. Holmgren is a former teammate at Minnehaha of Gonzaga freshman point guard Jalen Suggs, a projected top-3 pick in this year’s draft.

New Minnesota coach Ben Johnson has done his due diligence by texting and calling Holmgren after getting the job, and Holmgren is wishing him well going forward.

“From my experience, he’s a really good guy,” he said per Ben Goessling. “I see him doing really good things with the program.”

As for Gonzaga, Suggs and senior small forward Corey Kispert are expected to declare for the draft, while redshirt junior guard Joel Ayayi declared on Friday.

It’s unclear if sophomore forward Drew Timme will enter the Draft — he could opt to at least test the waters — but if he returns he and Holmgren would form one terrific frontcourt duo, with Timme able to play the 4 and Holmgren the 5.

While Timme is a tremendous offensive player, able to pass out of the post and score in a variety of ways down low, defense is not his strong suit. Holmgren, meantime, is an elite shot blocker who can protect the rim and serve as a safety valve behind Timme.

“For Chet, it starts with his length and his shot-blocking. he has incredible instincts, he’s incredibly tough around the rim, 7-4 wingspan, stands 7 feet tall,” ESPN’s Mike Schmitz said earlier this year. “Incredibly light on his feet and can really shoot it with touch. Reminds me of Kristaps Porzingis with an added dose of toughness.”

In November, Holmgren outplayed Emoni Bates, the No. 1 prospect in the Class of 2022, scoring 31 points on 13-of-18 shooting, with 12 rebounds and 6 blocks in a victory for his Team Sizzle.

On offense, Timme and Holmgren would be a dangerous pair in various offensive sets, including pick-and-roll, pick-and-pop and dribble hand-offs. The Zags are also expected to return junior point guard Andrew Nembhard, sophomore forward Anton Watson and 6-7 freshman guard Julian Strawther, who averaged 31.5 pts, 11.1 rebounds and 2.2 assists and 2.1 steals per game his senior year, en route to becoming Liberty (NV) High School's all-time leading scorer (2,252 points) and rebounder (839 rebounds). They are also bringing in five-star guard Hunter Sallis, who committed in March.

The Bulldogs figure to hit the transfer portal and have their choices considering the NCAA is expected this week to grant immediate eligibility to all first-time transfers. They have been linked to North Carolina transfer Walker Kessler, who averaged 4.4 points and 3.2 rebounds.

“I talk to the staff all the time, we need to continue to stay as old as we can but continue to add really, really good young players, too, that we can go through the development process” with, Gonzaga coach mark Few said. “It’s quite a balance. It’s just going to be different this year.”


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