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Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Sunday

Jan. 1, 2023
Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Sunday

ESPN's fantasy basketball and basketball betting tips cheat sheet is your pregame destination for basketball betting predictions and our best intel and data to help you make smart fantasy and wagering decisions. NBA game odds for January 1st are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and fantasy advice is based on ESPN 10-team leagues.

Home Cookin': The Bucks are an impressive 13-5 ATS at home this season and over tickets have cashed in 12 of those 18 games.

Pass On Points: The Kings are not the same team on the road and their game log supports that. Unders are 11-5 when Sacramento plays on the road this season, a significant number consider that unders are just 6-11-1 when the Kings play at home.

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Wiz Kids: The Wizards have covered four straight games and six of seven. That's a strong run under any circumstance, but especially so when following an ugly 2-13-1 ATS stretch over their 16 games prior.

-- Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies 8 p.m. ET, FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

Line: Grizzlies (-4.5) Money line: Grizzlies (-195), Kings (+162) Total: 240.5 points BPI Projected Total: 245.9 points BPI Win%: Grizzlies (64.6%)

Questionable: Malik Monk, Santi Aldama Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Malik Monk (available in 86.4% of leagues) is a streaky scorer that has exploded for 20 or more points eight times this season, including a 33-point effort on Wednesday. He's a boom-or-bust player, but overall, in his last four games he's averaged 16.5 PPG, 3.3 APG, 2.5 RPG, 1.5 3PG and 1.0 SPG in 25.5 MPG. -- Snellings

Best bet:

Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets 8:00 p.m ET, Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado

Line: Celtics (-1.5) Money line: Celtics (-125), Nuggets (+105) Total: 234.5 points BPI Projected Total: 230.1 points BPI Win%: Celtics (69.4%)

Questionable: Jamal Murray, Aaron Gordon, Bruce Brown Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Best bet: Nikola Jokic over 24.5 points. The scoring line is high for this game (234.5 points), indicating the likelihood that a lot of points are put ont he board. Jokic has averaged 30.4 PPG in his last 11 outings, going over 24.5 points in eight of those 11 games, and will likely need a big game to keep up with the Celtics' awesome offense. -- Snellings

Best bet: Jayson Tatum over 29.5 points. Tatum is one of the leading candidates for NBA MVP this season, and his team faces the squad of the two-time reigning MVP. Tatum has been on a scoring tear of late, averaging 36.3 PPG in his last seven outings, with at least 29 points in every game and more than 29 in six of seven. -- Snellings

Milwaukee Bucks at Washington Wizards 8 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington, Washington D.C.

Line: Bucks (-8) Money line: Bucks (-305), Wizards (+240) Total: 226 points BPI Projected Total: 239 points BPI Win%: Bucks (59.2%)

Questionable: George Hill Ruled Out: Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday Note: BPI numbers factored in players who are ruled out but assumes questionable players will play

Fantasy streamer: Corey Kispert (available in 99.4% of leagues) has been starting in place of Bradley Beal (hamstring). He's a low-volume player, but has made at least one 3-pointer in 11 straight games. He scored 11 points with 5 assists, 3 3-pointers and 1 steal in 38 minutes on Friday night. -- Andre Snellings

Fantasy streamer: Daniel Gafford (available in 95.4% of leagues) has started six straight games for the Wizards, and in his last three has flirted with a double-double with averages of 11.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG and 2.7 BPG in 23.3 MPG. -- Snellings

Fantasy streamer: Jevon Carter (available in 96.9% of leagues) is an option with Jrue Holiday (illness) sitting for the third game in a row. Carter started on Friday, and scored 10 points with 8 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 3-pointers in 32 minutes of action. -- Snellings

Best bet: Giannis Antetokounmpo over 12.5 rebounds. Giannis has been more engaged and productive across the board with Jrue Holiday (illness) joining Khris Middleton (knee) on the bench the last two games, averaging 44.0 PPG, 21.0 RPG and 6.0 APG. The elevated scoring is baked into Giannis' props for Sunday, but his rebounding prop hasn't moved much from norm. -Snellings


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