JUPITER, Fla. â Last week, on an otherwise sunny day here, a Cardinals fan began to share his thoughts on Nolan Gorman. The dude was sure down on him. The strikeouts, the batting average, the fan was ready to move on.
Itâs interesting how moods shift. A year ago at this time, Gorman was the next big thing, the clubâs top minor leaguer, this newfangled prospect built with modern hitting technology who, fittingly, was the first player ever drafted who was born in the 21st century. But now, to that fan â and, as seen on social media, many other fans â Gorman had lost some luster.
So, Iâll just say it.
He was 22!
Gorman was only 22 last year. Did I think heâd have a higher OPS than .721? Yes. But I donât get the idea of âmoving onâ from Gorman. In fact, heâs still 22! He turns 23 on May 10.
Can you possibly have your cake and eat it, too â as in, can new top prospect Jordan Walker become a great player and Gorman become a great player?
The way Gorman approaches at-bats, he probably will forever have a lot of strikeouts and a low batting average. But heâs going to mash â he hit 30 combined homers last year in Class AAA (16) and the majors (14).
And check out this stat: Weighted on-base average (wOBA) is well-respected in baseball circles. Itâs like on-base percentage, except a player is rewarded for getting on more bases at one time (in other words, homers, triples and doubles are weighted higher than singles and walks).
So the expected wOBA stat is based on each playerâs batted-ball data. Last season, MVP Paul Goldschmidt had an expected wOBA of .367. Nolan Arenadoâs was .339. Nolan Gormanâs? It was .341!
âThat means he hit the ball, but it just happened to be at a lot of guys,â teammate Tommy Edman said.
And in 2023, with the shift now nixed, lefty hitters like Gorman wonât be hitting into a defense that looks like a dime package.
Iâm not sitting here saying that Gorman will be better than his Nolan namesake. Iâm simply saying that Gorman should be better this season.
Of course, thatâs when he plays.
Brendan Donovan, with his new Gold Glove, will likely start many games at second base. But Gorman can be the lefty-hitting designated hitter against right-handed pitchers. Is this guaranteed? Of course not â Gorman will have to produce in Florida first.
âIâve been using a lot of Blast and Rapsodo (technology) â and watching a lot of video,â Gorman said while walking to his car after a workout in Jupiter. âA lot of video. For the most part, itâs just been â feel and video and making sure that the feel is real.â
Wait, what does that mean, âthe feel is real?â
âLike, the feel that I have when I swing, that it matches up with what it should look like in the video,â he said. âBlast has kept me making sure Iâm on the right track. Attack angles, vertical bat angles, stuff like that. Swing speed, got to keep that up as much as possible.â
His 2022 average exit velocity (89.2 mph) was sandwiched on the leaderboard with the likes of Francisco Lindor, Andrew Benintendi and DJ Lemahieu. And his barrel percentage on batted balls? Best on the Cardinals at 14.4%. Of course, other Cardinals had more at-bats and, thus, more batted balls. But for consideration, Lars Nootbaar came in second (12.1%), followed by Albert Pujols (12%), Goldschmidt (11.6%) and Tyler OâNeill (11.3%). So itâs encouraging stuff.
âHeâs an ultra-talented player,â Edman said. âAnd itâs not like he struggled the whole year. He came out of the gate super-hot â showed what he can do, like, right away. And obviously everybody has slow stretches. So I think just the fact that it ended on one of those stretches probably left a bad taste in peopleâs minds. But I think if you look back at when he first got called up, he was just crushing everything. So I think thereâs definitely no reason to sour on him. Heâs still got all the talent in the world. I think heâs going be a great hitter for us.â
Asked his positional preference, Gorman said heâd prefer to be at second base than designated hitter. He wants to help the club as much as possible, and heâs confident in his growth with the glove. Weâll see how often he wears gloves other than batting gloves. But from the batterâs box, Gorman â along with Nootbaar, Donovan and switch-hitters Edman and Dylan Carlson â could provide quite a bit of left-handed offense (the Cards were seventh in the NL in slugging percentage while batting lefty, while third in slugging percentage while batting righty).
âGorman is still very young; heâs still making adjustments,â said John Mozeliak, the Cardinals president of baseball operations. âBut thereâs so much upside and so much excitement around him, especially internally, that itâs just like â give him a chance. Go out and play right and do your thing. Now, do you have to make adjustments and be learning as you go? Of course. But he is someone that loves the game of baseball. He focuses on the game of baseball. I think maybe the greatest compliment you can give a player is â heâs truly a student of the game.â